QSBS.WTF

Oregon QSBS Impact Calculator

What Oregon's QSBS decoupling means for your startup exit

SB 1507 has passed both chambers and is on the Governor's desk — awaiting signature

TL;DR

$30,000,000
The total sale price when your company is acquired
60%
Your percentage of the company at the time of sale
$1,000
How much you paid for your shares — typically minimal for founders

Your Exit Breakdown

Your payout
QSBS exclusion
Federal tax (23.8%)
Before SB 1507
Oregon tax (9.9%)
Portland metro (~4%)
Total tax
YOU KEEP
After SB 1507
Oregon tax (9.9%) — on full gain
Portland metro (~4%) — on full gain
Total tax
YOU KEEP
You Would Owe
in additional state taxes on gains excluded under federal QSBS.
Based on a Founder exiting at $30,000,000 with 60% ownership in Portland.

SB 1507 is part of a larger package disconnecting Oregon from three federal tax provisions introduced in H.R. 1, including bonus depreciation and an auto loan interest deduction. The QSBS provision accounts for approximately $39 million of the estimated $311–342 million in preserved revenue. Proponents say the funds will support low-income Oregonians through an expanded EITC. Critics argue it penalizes the founders and investors Oregon needs to retain.

Both perspectives, along with cited sources, are available in the research sections below.

Get Involved

SB 1507 has passed both chambers but has not yet been signed into law. If this issue affects you, here are ways to engage.


Dig Deeper

Background, both sides of the debate, and the data behind the numbers

Qualified Small Business Stock (Section 1202) allows founders and early investors who hold stock in a qualifying C-corporation for 5+ years to exclude up to $10 million (or 10x their cost basis, whichever is greater) in capital gains from federal taxes. Originally enacted in 1993 under President Clinton, expanded under President Obama in 2010, and further expanded under President Trump in 2025 — it has had bipartisan support for over 30 years.

When a state “couples” with federal tax code, it honors this exclusion at the state level too. When a state “decouples,” it ignores the federal exclusion and taxes the full capital gain at the state rate — even though the IRS says those gains should be tax-free.

Where Things Stand

SB 1507 has passed both chambers and is on Governor Kotek's desk. Here's how we got here:

Jan 1, 2026
Retroactive effective date Retroactive
QSBS sales from this date forward are subject to the new tax treatment under SB 1507.
Feb 4, 2026
SB 1507 introduced in Oregon Senate
Part of a larger package disconnecting Oregon from three federal tax provisions in H.R. 1.
Feb 16, 2026
Passed Oregon Senate 17-13
Party-line vote. All Democrats in favor, all Republicans opposed.
Feb 25, 2026
Passed Oregon House 34-21
Sent to Governor Kotek's desk for signature.
Mar 6, 2026
Legislature adjourns sine die
2026 short session ends. The 91-day clock for the effective date starts now.
Now
Awaiting Governor's signature Pending
Governor Kotek is expected to sign. No confirmed date yet.
Jun 4, 2026
Earliest effective date 91 days
Takes effect 91 days after sine die adjournment. However, the QSBS provisions apply retroactively to sales from Jan 1, 2026.
Jun 4, 2026
Referendum signature deadline If pursued
Rep. Ed Diehl (R) announced plans to refer the bill to voters in November 2026. Would require 78,116 signatures within 90 days of adjournment.

Key Details

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Goes beyond disconnecting from the 2025 expansion. Section 5 completely eliminates Oregon's conformity with the entire QSBS regime — including the original 1993 Clinton-era and 2009 Obama-era provisions. This is not a targeted disconnect from recent changes; it's a full repeal of the state-level exclusion.

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Retroactive to January 1, 2026. Sales of qualifying stock that occurred this year are subject to the new treatment, including those that took place before the bill was introduced.

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Revenue impact: The QSBS provision preserves approximately $39 million in state revenue as part of a larger ~$311-342 million package that also addresses bonus depreciation and an auto loan interest deduction.

Revenue redirect: SB 1507 directs preserved revenue toward boosting Oregon's Earned Income Tax Credit (from 9% to 14% of the federal credit) and a new business hiring tax credit ($1,000 per new employee for businesses paying 150%+ of minimum wage).

Presented so you can form your own informed opinion

Why Oregon Is Making This Change

94% of QSBS excluded dollars go to households earning over $1 million annually. The median annual QSBS claim is just $2,810, but the 90th percentile is $590,940 — the benefit is extremely concentrated at the top.

U.S. Treasury Working Paper 127, Jan. 2025

The revenue is being redirected to lower-income Oregonians. The $39M preserved funds a boost to Oregon's EITC (benefiting working families) and a hiring tax credit for businesses paying living wages.

Oregon Center for Public Policy

Despite the name “small business,” QSBS applies to companies with up to $75M in gross assets and only to C-corporations, which make up less than 5% of all businesses. Prominent beneficiaries include early investors in companies like Zoom and Uber.

Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy

77% of VC-backed startup founders are white; only 2.8% are Black or Latino. Critics argue QSBS reinforces existing inequities in who gets to build wealth through startup equity.

ITEP analysis of VC demographics

California decoupled from QSBS years ago and still dominates venture capital nationally. CA companies attract more VC investment than the rest of the country combined, suggesting decoupling alone doesn't kill a startup ecosystem.

ITEP state analysis

Organizations across the political spectrum have criticized QSBS. The Tax Foundation called it a poor way to encourage investment. AEI's Kyle Pomerleau and Equitable Growth's David Mitchell jointly called the expansion “inefficient, complex, and unfair.”

AEI · Tax Foundation

Why Critics Say This Hurts Oregon

The bill is retroactive to January 1, 2026. Founders and investors who made financial decisions based on existing law now face a different tax reality for transactions that already occurred. Rep. Ed Diehl: “Changing the deal midstream is not stability — it is moving the goalposts.”

Oregon Legislative testimony

It goes far beyond the stated purpose. Section 5 doesn't just disconnect from the 2025 Trump-era expansion — it eliminates conformity with the entire 30+ year QSBS regime, including Clinton-era and Obama-era provisions. Testimony called this “wholesale revocation.”

Ballard Spahr legal analysis

It only hits Oregon residents. A non-resident selling the same QSBS pays zero Oregon tax. This creates a direct incentive for founders and investors to move — and with Vancouver, WA 15 minutes from Portland, the migration path is trivially easy.

Ballard Spahr legal analysis

Oregon's startup ecosystem differs significantly from California's. Oregon VC deployment in H1 2024 was at 49% of 2019 levels, lagging the national average. Analysts have described the ecosystem as “fragile.” Whether the California comparison is applicable is debated.

Silicon Florist · Elevate Capital

Academic research shows QSBS works. A peer-reviewed study found the 2010 QSBS expansion increased firm births by 10% and patenting by 23%. Removing the incentive could reverse those gains in an already fragile ecosystem.

Chen & Farre-Mensa, SSRN

New Jersey conformed to federal QSBS in June 2025, moving in the opposite direction. Several states have recently adopted or expanded QSBS conformity, suggesting a competitive dynamic among states for startup capital.

The Startup Law Blog

Key Statistics

94%
of QSBS excluded dollars go to households earning over $1M/year
10%
increase in firm births attributed to QSBS expansion in peer-reviewed research
$39M
in Oregon revenue preserved by QSBS decoupling (of $311-342M total in SB 1507)
49%
Oregon VC deployment in H1 2024 relative to 2019 levels — below the national average
23%
increase in patenting attributed to QSBS expansion in academic study
$152B
total QSBS exclusions claimed nationally from 2012-2022

How Other States Are Handling QSBS

State Direction Details
Oregon Decoupling SB 1507 awaiting Governor's signature. Full QSBS repeal, retroactive to Jan. 1, 2026.
California Decoupled Decoupled since 2013. Full gain taxed at up to 13.3%. Remains dominant VC state nationally.
Washington Considering SB 6229 / HB 2292 would tax QSBS gains under the state's 7-9.9% capital gains tax. Facing $2.3B shortfall.
Maryland Considering HB 801 introduced in 2026. ITEP estimates it would protect $27.2M in state revenue.
D.C. Overturned Voted unanimously to decouple in late 2025, then U.S. Senate voted 49-47 to overturn the decision.
New Jersey Just Conformed Signed full QSBS conformity in June 2025 — going the opposite direction to attract startups.
Pennsylvania Decoupled Never conformed. Full gain taxed at flat 3.07% rate.
TX, FL, NV, WY, SD, TN No Income Tax QSBS is effectively federal-only. Qualifying exits can be entirely tax-free for residents.

Government & Official Sources

News Coverage

Policy Analysis — For Decoupling

Policy Analysis — Against Decoupling

Academic Research

Oregon Ecosystem

State-by-State QSBS Guides

Oregon Exit Data (Real Exits Tab)

Note: Ownership percentages and investor scenarios in the “Real Exits” tab are illustrative estimates used to model the QSBS impact at different roles and scales. Actual founder/investor ownership stakes were not publicly disclosed for these exits.